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Financial Market Commentary

Monthly Market Commentary

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These monthly market commentaries share a synopsis of the U.S. financial markets with intelligent insights.

Latest Commentary:

November 2025 Market Recap

Before you read our November market update, I just wanted to say Merry Christmas and Happy New Year to all our readers out there. Faith, Hope, Joy, and Peace are at the heart of this holiday season. God Bless you and your families.

Here are observations on what occurred across the investment markets in November:

Broad Market Performance1

Index Nov 3M YTD 1 Year
S&P 500 0.3 6.3 17.8 15
MSCI EAFE 0.6 3.8 27.4 24.5
Bloomberg US Aggregate Bond 0.6 2.4 7.5 5.7

Data as of November 30, 2025

Domestic Equity2

  • U.S. equity markets slowed their ascent during the month due to shifts in sentiment and expectations, with mixed results across different segments, sectors, and stocks.
  • Value outperformed growth across market caps and the equal-weighted S&P 500 beat the cap-weighted S&P for the month.

International and Global Equities3

  • Non-U.S. developed market stocks outpaced U.S. equities, helped by select European markets but hurt by a negative return in Japan.
  • Emerging market stocks fell almost -2.5%, pushed lower by growth sectors and China, which declined for the second consecutive month.

Fixed Income Markets4

  • U.S. bond market returns were solidly positive in November, adding to the year’s strong returns. Interest rates were range-bound for most of the month, ending modestly lower. 

Specialty Markets5

  • REITs bounced back, outperforming stocks and bonds. Commodities were mixed with oil down modestly and natural gas jumping up more than 10%. Gold and copper prices rose, finishing the month with positive momentum.

Sectors6

  • Healthcare was the best performing sector, up 9% for the month, followed by Communication Services which was lifted by Alphabet’s big rally.  IT and Consumer Discretionary were the laggards for the month, down -4% and -2% respectively.

December 9, 2025

Dear Valued Investor,

The year 2025 offered a clear illustration of today’s prevailing market regime — one that has been shaped less by traditional fundamentals and business cycle dynamics and more by fiscal and monetary policy. While policy has always influenced markets, its role has increasingly grown. What does this mean as we look ahead to 2026?

In an environment where policy decisions are one of the most powerful forces steering market direction, we believe patience is essential. Avoid overreacting to short-term sentiment swings, as policy- and momentum driven markets tend to produce sharp price fluctuations — which can challenge our behavioral biases. We saw this in 2025, when stock prices swung from policy-induced lows to momentum-driven highs.

The good news: We anticipate policy will remain a net tailwind for markets in 2026. Short term interest rates are likely to continue easing as economic growth moderates and inflation stays contained. Corporate earnings may provide support, while core bonds quietly offer value (and should benefit from a more dovish Federal Reserve). In addition, given correlations can spike in policy-driven markets, our investment committee has already embraced and implemented non-correlated alternative investments as part of a diversified approach. Most of our client your portfolios already have Private Equity, Private Credit, and other strategies like this, however if you need additional assistance or questions regarding your old 401k account, please let us know.

Relevant Article: What To Do With Your Old 401k Account

Several key themes will likely continue shaping the landscape in 2026. Equity markets should remain resilient but vulnerable to volatility, while a fragmented economic backdrop limits clear trends in bonds. Policy decisions in Washington will remain a dominant force, influencing sentiment. The post-pandemic cycle is still distorted, with growth steady yet uneven, inflation persistently above target, and labor markets gradually softening. Add to this the effects of massive fiscal spending, an AI-driven capital investment boom, and more, and the result is an environment that defies traditional patterns. In this setting, diversification and agility are critical.

As always, we will help you navigate through market complexities and crosscurrents and continue to work toward pursuing your financial goals.

Merry Christmas and Happy New Year!

Sincerely,

 scott headshot
 
Scott Krase
Wealth Manager
Connor & Gallagher OneSource (CGO)
skrase@GoCGO.com
630.810.9100
CGO_logo_final_RGB_16
 

1-6 All data referenced in the table and comments supplied by Morningstar.

This document is a general communication being provided for informational purposes only. It is educational in nature and not designed to be taken as advice or a recommendation for any specific investment product, strategy, plan feature or other purpose in any jurisdiction, nor is it a commitment from Global Retirement Partners, LLC or any of its subsidiaries to participate in any of the transactions mentioned herein. Any examples used are generic, hypothetical and for illustration purposes only. This material does not contain sufficient information to support an investment decision, and it should not be relied upon by you in evaluating the merits of investing in any securities or products. In addition, users should make an independent assessment of the legal, regulatory, tax, credit, and accounting implications and determine, together with their own financial professionals, if any investment mentioned herein is believed to be appropriate to their personal goals. Investors should ensure that they obtain all available relevant information before making any investment. Any forecasts, figures, opinions or investment techniques and strategies set out are for informational purposes only, based on certain assumptions and current market conditions and are subject to change without prior notice. All information presented herein is considered to be accurate at the time of production, but no warranty of accuracy is given and no liability in respect of any error or omission is accepted. It should be noted that investment involves risks, the value of investments and the income from them may fluctuate in accordance with market conditions and taxation agreements and investors may not get back the full amount invested. Both past performance and yields are not reliable indicators of current and future results.

Tracking # 830456 exp 12/26

 
Important Information

This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the views or strategies discussed are suitable for all investors or will yield positive outcomes. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change.

References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment and do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results.

All index data from FactSet.

The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index (S&P500) is a capitalization-weighted index of 500 stocks designed to measure performance of the broad domestic economy through changes in the aggregate market value of 500 stocks representing all major industries.

There is no guarantee that a diversified portfolio will enhance overall returns or outperform a non-diversified portfolio. Diversification does not protect against market risk.

Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Asset allocation does not ensure a profit or protect against a loss.

Investment Advisory Services offered through Global Retirement Partners, LLC DBA Connor & Gallagher OneSource an SEC registered investment advisor.

 

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Disclaimer: 

This material is for general information only and is not intended to provide specific advice or recommendations for any individual. There is no assurance that the views or strategies discussed are suitable for all investors or will yield positive outcomes. Investing involves risks including possible loss of principal. Any economic forecasts set forth may not develop as predicted and are subject to change. References to markets, asset classes, and sectors are generally regarding the corresponding market index. Indexes are unmanaged statistical composites and cannot be invested into directly. Index performance is not indicative of the performance of any investment and do not reflect fees, expenses, or sales charges. All performance referenced is historical and is no guarantee of future results. Any company names noted herein are for educational purposes only and not an indication of trading intent or a solicitation of their products or services. Connor & Gallagher OneSource doesn’t provide research on individual equities. All information is believed to be from reliable sources; however Connor & Gallagher OneSource makes no representation as to its completeness or accuracy.

*Securities offered through LPL Financial, Member FINRA & SIPC.  Investment advisory services offered through Global Retirement Partners, LLC DBA Connor & Gallagher OneSource, an SEC registered investment advisor.  Connor & Gallagher OneSource and Connor & Gallagher Benefit Services are separate entities from LPL Financial.

 

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